Polymarket weather radar

Settlement weather, model uncertainty, and live market disagreement

Skycast independently estimates the official station's final daily high, then compares that distribution with live Polymarket prices. Probability gaps show disagreement, not guaranteed returns.

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SKYCAST TEMPERATURE GUIDE

UNDERSTANDING TEMPERATURE DATA

Now

Live settlement context. Airport observations where appropriate, with dedicated source adapters for non-standard stations such as Hong Kong.

Range

Forecast low/high for the selected station-local settlement day.

Predicted

Most likely bin for the day's final high after conditioning on recent observations.

Bins

Skycast probabilities are independent model estimates. Market prices are shown separately.

Built for Polymarket temperature watchers. Skycast does not connect wallets or place bets.

Current cities

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Fahrenheit (US)

Celsius (International)

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Disclaimer: Skycast (skycast.site) is an unofficial, independent project for educational and informational purposes only. Weather data is provided as-is without warranty of accuracy or completeness and may be delayed by 5+ minutes. “Now” uses live station observations when available; some city-station markets currently use model fallback for intraday context. Forecast bins use recent observations plus model forecast data (Open-Meteo and/or Tomorrow.io). Settlement reference links point to Weather Underground or official city observatory pages for convenience only. Market probabilities represent live prediction-market pricing; probability gaps indicate disagreement, not guaranteed profit or a recommendation to trade. Skycast is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by NOAA, the National Weather Service, Weather Underground/IBM, Polymarket, Polygon Labs, or any other entity. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice. All logos and trademarks are the property of their respective owners.