Skycast
Tel Aviv market page
All tracked cities

Tel Aviv weather market outlook

This page tracks Ben Gurion Airport (LLBG), the station Skycast uses for Tel Aviv temperature-market context. It combines live observations with the remaining forecast to estimate which settlement bin is most likely to win.

Current live snapshot

Skycast last refreshed this market at May 10, 10:56 AM GMT+3. The current live reading is 26°C, with today's observed high so far at 26°C.

  • Local settlement day: May 10, 2026
  • Today's modeled range: 15°C to 27°C
  • Today's top bin: 27°C (42%)
  • Tomorrow's top bin: 27°C (29%)

Top bins right now

Today is currently led by 27°C. The next most likely bins are shown below so you can see whether the market is tightly clustered or still has meaningful tail risk.

  • Today: 27°C (42%)
  • Today: 28°C or higher (37%)
  • Today: 26°C (21%)
  • Tomorrow: 27°C (29%)
  • Tomorrow: 28°C (26%)
  • Tomorrow: 26°C (19%)

How to read Tel Aviv

The most informative number intraday is the observed high so far. Once the station has already printed a value, bins entirely below that number are effectively dead unless the source is corrected later. Skycast keeps that observation floor in view while still allowing for additional daytime heating if the forecast supports it.

For Tel Aviv, always verify the exact market rules before acting. Different venues can name the same city but resolve against slightly different stations or time windows.

Settlement reference

To compare this city against the rest of the board, open the live Skycast dashboard. For a plain-English explanation of final settlement, whole-degree rounding, and why live prices can disagree with the model, read how Polymarket weather markets resolve or visit the Skycast blog.